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 IMF quota reform a complex, two-year process

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AuteurMessage
Tite Prout
Maître de Cérémonie du forum
Tite Prout


Nombre de messages : 1737
Localisation : Montréal
Date d'inscription : 01/06/2005

IMF quota reform a complex, two-year process Empty
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MessageIMF quota reform a complex, two-year process

IMF quota reform a complex, two-year process
The IMF is pressing ahead with what is envisaged to be a
two-year process of reform designed to update the representation
of members and modernize the governance
of the 62-year-old institution. After an initial round of ad
hoc increases last September for four dynamic economies
that were clearly underrepresented (China, Korea, Mexico,
and Turkey), the IMF has now embarked on the second and
more far reaching phase of the reform process.
At the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings last September
in Singapore, the IMF’s Board of Governors, representing all
members of the Fund, approved a resolution initiating the
reform plan, which is designed to revamp the representation
of members to reflect recent changes in the global economy,
while enhancing the participation and voice of low-income
countries. The revamp is part of an overhaul of the IMF’s
priorities and governance spelled out in IMF Managing
Director Rodrigo de Rato’s Medium-Term Strategy.
The timetable for completing the reforms is by the 2007
Annual Meetings, and no later than the Annual Meetings
of 2008.
A key issue in the reform plan is how each member’s subscription,
or quota, is calculated. The reform package consists
of the following elements:
• initial ad hoc increases in quotas for China, Korea,
Mexico, and Turkey;
• start of work on a new quota formula
to guide the assessment of the
adequacy of members' quotas in the IMF,
to be completed by the 2007 Annual
Meetings, and not later than the Spring
Meetings of 2008;
• a second round of ad hoc quota
increases based on the new formula; and
• work on a proposal to increase the
basic votes that each member possesses
to ensure adequate voice for low-income
countries in the IMF.
How quotas work
Voting power at the IMF is tied to the relative size of each
country in the global economy—which is reflected in its
quota. This quota also has a bearing on each country’s
access to IMF financing.
Quota subscriptions, which must be paid in full when a
country joins the IMF, generate most of the IMF’s financial
resources. Up to 25 percent must be paid in the IMF’s own
currency called Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), or widely
accepted currencies (such as the U.S. dollar, the euro, the
yen, or the pound sterling), while the rest is paid in the
member’s own currency. With the admission of Montenegro
as the IMF’s 185th member in January, total members’ quotas
were about $325 billion.
What are basic votes?
Under the rules of the Fund, each country
has 250 basic votes plus one vote for each
SDR 100,000 of quota. The effect of an
increase in basic votes is to increase the voting
power of those members whose voting
power is below the average voting power for
Fund membership as a whole, and thereby
to allow the smallest members to have an
increased measure of influence in the Fund’s
decision-making process. Successive general
increases in quotas have reduced the share
of basic votes to the present 2 percent from
11 percent when the Fund was established.
The IMF’s Executive Board has proposed at a minimum,
a doubling of the basic votes that each IMF member possesses
and protection of the pre-first round voting share of
low-income countries as a group. The proposal also calls for
the share of basic votes in total voting power to remain constant
going forward. Offices of African Executive Directors
have also been promised additional staffing resources.
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IMF quota reform a complex, two-year process :: Commentaires

Tite Prout
Re: IMF quota reform a complex, two-year process
Message Sam 10 Mar - 11:23 par Tite Prout
increase in basic votes will require an amendment to the
IMF’s Articles of Agreement, and may require the approval
of national parliaments.
Complicated process
Changing the method of deciding quotas is a complex process.
“The resolution approved in Singapore was a crucial first
step, and we have made a good start since then in moving
forward with the agenda,” explains David Burton, head of a
committee appointed by de Rato to prepare the implementation
of proposals for the Executive Board. “We
have had an informal Board seminar on a new
quota formula, and discussion of the legal issues
involved in amending the Articles to increase
basic votes and protect their share in total voting
power going forward. Also, the Board has had a
first discussion of increasing the resources available
to the offices of Executive Directors with
the largest constituencies.”
“But there is lot of work to do,” adds Burton
who is also head of the IMF’s Asia and Pacific
Department. “This is especially true for the
development of a new quota formula—an
essential step in this reform process, as it will
provide the basis for the second round of ad
hoc quota increases. We also hope a new formula
would be durable and used in further
quota adjustments beyond the second round.
The goal is to develop a formula that is both simpler and
more transparent than the present approach, and which
appropriately captures members’ weight and role in the
global economy.”
Developing a new quota formula is very challenging
because it is complex conceptually, technically, and politically.
The IMF will need a very broad consensus behind
a new formula, or it is unlikely to be implemented. “Such
a consensus is difficult to forge when changes in relative
voting share in the Fund are at stake,” Burton admits.
“However, it is encouraging that there seems to be a strong
commitment on the part of the membership to move forward
on this issue, including by members that did not support
the resolution in Singapore.”
Creating a formula
The IMF’s Articles of Agreement provide for a general review
and possible adjustment of quotas every five years but do not
indicate how quotas should be determined. The Executive
Board has neither formally adopted nor endorsed any particular
method for determining quotas or quota increases.
However, over the years, the Fund has developed quantitative
criteria (or formulas) to “calculate quotas,” which help determine
the initial quota of new members, and serve as a guide
in determining increases in quotas for existing members.
The formulas used by the IMF incorporate a number of
criteria or variables to assess the relative standing of countries.
Variables used in the current formula are a country’s
gross domestic product, the size of its current account transactions,
the variability of these transactions, and the level of
its official reserves.
Key to developing a new formula is deciding exactly which
variables to include, and how they should be
defined—as well as the relative weights to be
given to them. For example, there will need to
be further discussion of how to convert GDP
into a common currency (including a possible
role for purchasing power parity or PPP). Also
to be debated is how best to define openness,
including how to reflect the importance of capital
flows in the global economy.
Developing broad support
The IMF’s policy-setting International
Monetary and Finance Committee is expected
to review progress with the reform plan at the
April 14-15 Spring Meetings in Washington,
D.C. “It will undoubtedly take more than one
further discussion after the Spring Meetings to
home in on a specific proposal,” says Burton.
“Experience with the discussions leading up to Singapore
suggests that it takes time to develop a proposal that can
command broad support, and that along the way new ideas
are raised from many members, and indeed from outside
the Fund, that can help get round what seem like very difficult
issues. So, while it may take a little time, I am optimistic
that agreement will be reached both on a new formula and
the rest of the package broadly on schedule,” Burton told the
IMF Survey.
“At the end of the day, we have to find an agreement
that the membership as a whole will support,” says
Andrew Tweedie, head of a team in the IMF’s Finance
Department that is working on the quota formula (see
interview, next page). “This is an exercise that in the end
has real consequences.” n
Jeremy Clift
IMF External Relations Department
“Experience with
the discussions
leading up to
Singapore suggests
that it takes time to
develop a proposal
that can command
broad support,
and that along the
way new ideas are
raised from many
members.”
—David Burton
For further information, see “IMF Board of Governors Approves Quota
and Related Governance Reforms,” Press Release No. 06/205, September
18, 2006, available on the web at www.imf.org.
 

IMF quota reform a complex, two-year process

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